Trump refuses to rule out recession and new Canadian PM Mark Carney vows to win trade war: Live updates

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Donald Trump said over the weekend that he could not rule out the possibility of a recession being triggered by uncertainty over his tariff war against the United States’s top trading partners like Canada and Mexico.
“I hate to predict things like that,” the president told Maria Bartiromo on Fox News’s Sunday Morning Futures when pressed about the possibility. “There is a period of transition.”
Mark Carney, the former Bank of England governor, meanwhile won the race to succeed Justin Trudeau as Canada’s new prime minister and leader of the Liberal Party last night and wasted no time in vowing to take on Trump in a trade war, urging his country to unite in a defiant acceptance speech.
After seeing off a challenge from ex-finance minister Chrystia Freeland, Carney hit out at Trump’s tariff agressions by saying: “The Canadian government has rightly retaliated with tariffs. We will keep our tariffs on until the Americans show us respect.
“We did not ask for this fight. But Canadians are always ready when someone else drops the gloves. Make no mistake, Canada will win.”
He further accused the American of “attacking Canadian families” and wanting to “destroy the Canadian way of life.”
Watch: Trump warns Ukraine ‘may not survive’ war against Russia
The president is “comfortable” with a democratic ally ceasing to exist if defending it becomes too expensive, he implies.
Watch: Donald Trump warns Ukraine ‘may not survive’ war against Russia
Donald Trump has suggested Ukraine “may not survive” the war against Russia, even if American support continues. The US president was asked about his decision to pause support for Ukraine following his Oval Office clash Volodymyr Zelensky, during an interview with Fox News on Sunday (9 March). Trump was asked about a warning from Polish president Andrzej Duda “that without American support, Ukraine will not survive”. Asked if he was “comfortable” with that outcome, Trump said: “Well, it may not survive anyway. “But we have some weaknesses with Russia. You know, it takes two.”
Joe Sommerlad10 March 2025 10:20
Trump rips Zelensky and dodges question on Russia allegiance
In the same interview in which he conceded there could be a recession after all, the president reiterated his claim that Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky has not been sufficiently “grateful” for American aid and alleged that he “took money out of this country… like candy from a baby” (his description of the Biden administration’s policy of military and political support for Ukraine’s military).
Trump also rejected that idea he was supportive of Vladimir Putin, insisting: “Nobody has been tougher on Russia than Donald Trump.”
John Bowden has this one too.
Joe Sommerlad10 March 2025 10:00
Watch: Carney calls Trump ‘greatest crisis of our lifetime’
This was probably the new PM’s key line of the night.

Canada’s new PM calls Trump tariffs ‘the greatest crisis of our lifetime’
Mark Carney, the former Bank of England governor, has been named as Canada’s new prime minister succeeding Justin Trudeau ahead of the country’s general election. Entering office tasked with navigating a potential trade war with the US, Mr Carney described Donald Trump’s threat of tariffs as “the greatest crisis of our lifetime”. Addressing the Liberal party after he was named its new leader, he said: “We did not ask for this fight. But Canadians are always ready when someone else drops the gloves. Make no mistake, Canada will win.” In his defiant speech, he also criticised opposition leader Pierre Poilievre, who he claimed “worships at the altar of Donald Trump.” The new PM promised “dollar-for-dollar retaliatory tariffs” and urged Canadians to unite, repeating the phrase “Canada strong” throughout his speech.
Joe Sommerlad10 March 2025 09:40
New Canadian PM Mark Carney vows to fight U.S. trade war ‘until Trump shows respect
The former Bank of England governor won the race to succeed Justin Trudeau as Canada’s new prime minister and leader of the Liberal Party on Sunday and wasted no time in vowing to take on Trump, urging his country to unite in a defiant acceptance speech.
Carney, who will be sworn in as Trudeau’s successor in the coming days, was elected last night in the middle of a tense moment for his country as tensions escalate with its closest neighbour over tariffs.
After seeing off a challenge from ex-finance minister Chrystia Freeland by securing 85.9 per cent of the votes cast by 150,000 Liberal Party members, Carney hit out at Trump for “attacking Canadian families” and wanting to “destroy the Canadian way of life”.
Here’s a full report from Alexander Butler.
Joe Sommerlad10 March 2025 09:20
Donald Trump refuses to rule out recession amid tariff trade war confusion
The president said on Sunday he could not rule out the possibility of a recession being triggered by uncertainty over his tariff war against the United States’s top trading partners like Canada and Mexico.
“I hate to predict things like that,” Trump told Maria Bartiromo on Fox News’s Sunday Morning Futures when pressed about the possibility.
“There is a period of transition.”
Urging Americans to take a long view of his work to reconfigure the U.S.’s policy towards free trade, Trump pointed to the supposed “100 year perspective” of Chinese economic and political strategists.
“The tariffs could go up as time goes by, and they may go up,” he added.
The remarks came after Trump dragged the U.S. and its neighbors through a dizzying week of tariff announcements and U-turns, which saw him imposing 25 percent tariffs against Canadian and Mexican imports before delaying them by one month a day later and moving to double the 10 percent duties it had already levied on China, inviting inevitable reprisals and panicking the markets.
Here’s more from John Bowden.
Joe Sommerlad10 March 2025 09:00
Rubio and Musk turn on Polish foreign minister in spat over Starlink use in Ukraine
The Trump administration’s top diplomat joined DOGE chief Elon Musk in picking a fight with Poland’s foreign minister on Sunday as the three squabbled over Musk’s Starlink system and its use in Ukraine.
Sunday’s three-way exchange was just the latest example of American foreign relations turning into a blame game as Marco Rubio, the secretary of State, reiterated the White House’s position that Europe was insufficient with its praise and gratitude after three years of US support for Ukraine’s defense.
John Bowden reports from Washington, D.C.
Trump, Cuomo are latest in politicians who have ‘rebounded’ from career-enders
“Our country is on the verge of a comeback, the likes of which the world has never witnessed, and perhaps will never witness again.”
Oliver O’Connell10 March 2025 07:00
Editorial: Vladimir Putin is the only winner in Donald Trump’s risky intelligence game
From The Independent’s editorial team:
As Russia regains ground in Kursk, it’s up to Keir Starmer and other European leaders to act — fast.
Alex Woodward10 March 2025 06:00
ICE agents detain leader of Columbia pro-Palestine protests in front of heavily pregnant wife
Plainclothes agents from Immigration and Customs Enforcement arrested a recently graduated leader of the Palestine solidarity protests at Columbia University on Saturday, according to his lawyer and student organizers, sparking fears of a long-feared federal crackdown on campus activists.
Mahmoud Khalil, who is Palestinian, had just entered the lobby of his university-owned apartment building near the New York campus when agents approached him and his eight-months-pregnant wife, asking for his identification and saying he was under arrest because the State Department had revoked his student visa.
Josh Marcus has the details.
Oliver O’Connell10 March 2025 05:30
DOJ investigating soaring egg prices
According to the Wall Street Journal, the Justice Department sent a letter to egg companies instructing them to preserve documents about their pricing conversations with customers and competitors, in addition to communications with Expana, formerly Urner Barry, an American business publisher that tracks an egg index.
The department suggested that federal investigators want to review company communications about egg production and bird flu.
Michelle Del Rey has the story.
Oliver O’Connell10 March 2025 04:30