Presidential polls live updates: Trump is favorite to win six of the seven swing states, bookmaker predicts

By Katelyn Caralle, Senior U.S. Political Reporter

Donald Trump’s odds of beating Kamala Harris have increased in six of the seven key swing states with just three weeks until Election Day.

Bettors on Polymarket have Trump’s favorability growing against Harris in Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina and Wisconsin.

Harris is only maintaining a slim lead in the battleground of Nevada at 51 percent compared to Trump’s 49 percent in the blue-leaning west coast state.

The seven swing states in question are where the outcome of the 2024 presidential election will be determined.

Nationally, Trump has gained 2.5 percent in odds of beating Harris.

Polymarket has the former president’s chances of victory at 56.5 percent compared to the vice president’s 43.1 percent.

The betting site is partly funded by early Trump backer Peter Thiel.

Prediction platforms often differ from the polls, which currently show Harris with a narrow lead nationwide.

Thomas Miller, a data scientist at Northwestern University, is predicting a landslide for Trump and Vance based on PredictIt contract prices.

North Carolina gubernatorial candidate Mark Robinson has faced backlash after a CNN report exposed him for comments on a graphic porn site.

It was also revealed his email was registered with sex cheating website Ashley Madison.

Robinson has been married to wife Yolanda Hill Robinson since 1990. He has denied the reports and claims they are all ‘outright lies’ or only ‘half truths.’

Now, Robinson has sued CNN over its report that he made the sexist and racist remarks.

The lawsuit states that CNN:

Chose to publish despite knowing or recklessly disregarding that Lt. Gov. Robinson’s data — including his name, date of birth, passwords, and the email address supposedly associated with the NudeAfrica account — were previously compromised by multiple data breaches.

Donald Trump holds the edge in the New York-based Kalshi prediction market, after making some polling gains in a tight race against Kamala Harris.

Trump now leads in the trading platform 55 to 45, holding the advantage ever since October 10.

Trump also holds the lead in DailyMail.com’s prediction model, after getting some positive polling in the crucial state of Pennsylvania. Harris continues to hold the edge in polls of the national popular vote.

Pelosi was a key leader in getting Biden to drop out of the race in July, following his massive failure to combat Trump at a debate and amid fears he would not be able to lead the country given his age and state of mind.

The former speaker of the House told the Guardian whether they had spoken since then, she said: ”Not since then, no. But I’m prayerful about it.’

A Georgia judge has ruled that county election boards will be required by law to certify the results of the election.

Fulton County Superior Court Judge Robert McBurney rejected an appeal by a superintendent to delay or refuse finalizing the results if there are allegations of fraud or a recount.

Georgia, one of the seven swing states that will likely decide the election, was one of the centers of chaos in 2020 over Donald Trump’s claims the election was stolen.

The former president lost the state by 11,000 votes, but insisted there was no way he could have been defeated and blamed the outcome on widespread fraud.

In the end, Joe Biden’s win in Georgia was confirmed despite relentless pressure from Trump and his allies.

Election board member Julie Adams, who rejected a recent primary result in Fulton County, brought the lawsuit.

McBurney wrote in his order that election codes and laws are in place to ensure there is a fair and orderly process when the results are announced.

He added that the state’s constitution does not give election officials the legal right to refute the results once they are announced.

One of Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris’ top campaign advisors called publicly available polling ‘horses***’ just as her race with Donald Trump tightens.

David Plouffe, a senior advisor to the Harris-Walz campaign and a former Barack Obama advisor, was adamant while speaking on the ‘God Save America’ podcast that the presidential race is closer than some surveys show.

‘I can’t speak to the public polls. I spend very little time looking at them… most of them are horses***,’ the strategist admitted.

‘Some of them may be close but generally, I’d say any poll that shows Kamala Harris up four to five points in one of these seven states, ignore it,’ he said referencing the critical battleground states.

‘Any point that shows Donald Trump up like that – ignore it.’

Vem Miller was a ‘lunatic’ for thinking he could come to a Donald Trump rally with a loaded gun and several other ‘major red flags,’ said the local sheriff who is insisting he helped squash a third assassination attempt.

Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco doubled down in an interview with DailyMail.com about what led him to think Miller could have been plotting something nefarious for Trump’s Saturday rally.

The first casualty was an inconvenience that halted Donald Trump for a minute or two while midflight answering questions about home prices, the border and small business.

By the time the second person collapsed in the heat of the overcrowded exhibition hall, the former president knew he had a problem. A few people at the back of the hall were making for the exits and he knew he needed to pump up the crowd. It was time for plan B.

‘Let’s not do any more questions,’ Trump said to his audience in suburban Philadelphia. ‘Let’s just listen to music.’

First came Ave Marie, Schubert’s masterpiece that is a favorite at weddings and funerals, as Trump stood center stage looking out into the middle distance.

Then came Pavarotti and James Brown. And finally, inevitably, the Village People singing ‘Y.M.C.A.’

Kamala Harris is reportedly in talks with Joe Rogan to sit down for an interview on his influential talk show, with critics noting the move is a sign of desperation for the suddenly lagging Democratic candidate.

The Harris-Walz campaign met with the podcast giant’s team this week, three sources familiar with the matter told Reuters.

However, no appearance has been confirmed yet. It comes at the same time Donald Trump is saying he is already scheduled to be on Rogan’s show.

‘Joe Rogan has to have you on — would you do that?’ a clip from the ‘Full Send’ podcast posted over the weekend shows a host asking the former president.