Presidential election odds 2024 live: Two swing state polls have Trump-Harris race tied

By Emily Goodin, senior White House correspondent

Donald Trump is trailing Kamala Harris in Pennsylvania’s early voting with a once reliable Republican voting bloc: seniors.

Republicans won the senior vote in the past five presidential elections.

In Pennsylvania, where voters over the age of 65 have cast nearly half of the early ballots, registered Democrats account for about 58% of that vote, compared to 35% for Republicans, according to an analysis by Politico.

Both parties having roughly equal numbers of registered voters aged 65 and older in the critical battleground state.

Polls also show Trump is trailing with that voting bracket. A Fox News poll of Pennsylvania found Trump is running 5 points behind Harris among voters ages 65 and over.

The senior vote is important in five of the seven battleground states — Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, and North Carolina — that have more voters over the age of 65 than the national average, according to census data.

Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are tied in in a new poll in the crucial state of Pennsylvania.

The USA TODAY/Suffolk poll shows the two candidates both on 49 percent support.

The survey of 500 voters was conducted from October 27 to October 30 and had a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.

A poll of 300 likely voters in Erie County, a key battleground within Pennsylvania, was also tied with Harris and Trump both on 48 percent.

For the latest on where Trump and Harris stand in Pennsylvania and the other six battleground states visit DailyMail.com’s up-to-the-minute guide to polling and other crucial data about each one.

As speculation mounts about what a Kamala Harris cabinet might look like if she wins, Washington politicos are curious: Will she push for a continuation of the Biden administration or try to unburden herself from his record and chart a fresh course?

For her first three years as vice president, Harris was burdened by Biden’s close-knit staff, who held her at an arm’s length but a win in the Nov. 5 election would afford her the opportunity to clean house and set her own agenda – and legacy.

If elected, Harris would strike three firsts, as not only the the first woman president but also, first black female and first South Asian elected to the nation’s highest office.

Those historic distinctions would likely set her on a path to creating the most diverse and forward-looking cabinet, just as she did when she took office as vice president.

But Harris already faces criticism for her record of poor management.

Her staff fell apart one by one as they fled her office complaining about her bullying behavior, short-fused temper, and exhaustive demands.

The White House altered the official transcript of a call President Biden did with Latino supporters where he appeared to call Trump supporters ‘garbage’, according to reports by the Associated Press.

The comments were made in response to a joke Tony Hinchcliffe made at Donald Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally about Puerto Rico being a ‘floating island of garbage.’

According to the official transcript prepared by White House stenographers, Biden said on the Tuesday call: ‘The only garbage I see floating out there is his supporters – his – his demonization of Latinos is unconscionable, and it’s un-American.’

However, the transcript released by the White House press office altered the word supporters. It said ‘supporter’s’ rather than a plural ‘supporters.’

This change, according to aides, corrects Biden’s statement to imply he was criticizing Hinchcliffe alone, not the millions of Americans voting for Trump, the Associated Press reported.

by Rob Crilly, Chief Political Correspondent

If 2016 was the education election, when voters divided depending on whether or not they had been to college, then 2024 is shaping up to be a battle of the sexes.

The full extent of the gender divide in America is laid bare in the latest DailyMail.com/J.L. Partners.

It found that former President Donald Trump has widened his lead with men, and now has a 22-point lead among male voters.

At the same time, Vice President Kamala Harris has extended her lead among female voters, and now has a 14-point lead with women.

It is an extraordinary number in a race that has been otherwise tight.

Donald Trump has sparked outrage after asking how Liz Cheney would feel with ‘guns trained on her face’ while speaking at a campaign event just days before the election.

Trump appeared in Glendale, Arizona with former Fox News host Tucker Carlson on Thursday night when he called Cheney a ‘dumb war hawk’ and suggested she face a firing squad.

‘She’s a radical war hawk,’ Trump began. ‘Let’s put her with a rifle standing there with nine barrels shooting at her, okay, let’s see how she feels about it. You know, when the guns are trained on her face.’

Trump had mentioned Liz Cheney’s father, former GOP Vice President Dick Cheney, before he unleashed the diatribe.

‘I don’t blame him for sticking with his daughter. But his daughter’s a very dumb individual, very dumb,’ Trump said.

Jennifer Lopez brought a dose of Hollywood glamour to the campaign trail as she urged voters in Nevada to give Kamala Harris a silver screen ending and expressed outrage over the Puerto Rico dig made at Donald Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally.

The actress and singer said she was a ‘lover’ and didn’t mean to ‘trash’ anyone – ‘even facing the biggest adversary I think America has ever had’ – but she had something to say about that ‘garbage’ comment.

According to the poll of 1,000 likely voters, her ‘biggest blunder’ is that she would ‘not change anything’ from the Biden administration.

Harris was asked on The View last month about what she would change about Biden’s presidency.

‘There is not a thing that comes to mind,’ Harris responded.

Harris defended the president’s record and added: ‘I’ve been a part of most of the decisions that have had impact.’

But for voters in the DailyMail.com poll, that answer could be fatal for her election chances.