Election polls 2024 live: CNN polling guru predicts a candidate will ‘sweep’ the swing states in ‘blowout’

CNN’s polling guru Harry Enten said he thinks one of the candidates sweeping the seven swing states is ‘more likely than not’.

The network’s senior political data reporter made the bold prediction despite most polls showing Donald Trump and Kamala Harris in a virtual tie in the battlegrounds that will decide the election.

Enten said that his model has a 60 percent chance that the winner of the election receives at least 300 electoral college votes.

Only 270 is needed for a candidate to take the keys to the White House.

‘So for all the talk that we’ve had about this election being historically close, which it is, chances are the winner will still actually score a relative blowout in the Electoral College,’ Enten said.

‘Don’t be surprised if the swing state polls, when they underestimate one candidate, they underestimate all of them in the states.

‘And that would lead to a relative Electoral College blowout, with one of the candidates winning at least 300 electoral votes.’

He doesn’t say which candidate is most likely to pull off the sweep, showing the race is on a knife-edge with 12 days to go.

By Jon Michael Raasch, U.S. Political Reporter for DailyMail.com

A fire set at a blue drive-up mailbox in Arizona is being investigated after multiple ballots were damaged.

The Phoenix Fire Department says their arson unit is investigating the blaze and looking for the individual responsible.

According to authorities, an unidentified person began the fire at the drive-up box around 1:20 am local time. Reports indicate that at least 20 ballots were damaged.

The collection box is on the property of a United States Postal Service office and investigators have gathered surveillance footage from surrounding buildings.

The Phoenix Police and Fire Departments are investigating the incident alongside U.S. Postal Inspectors.

One in four Americans fear a civil war could break out following the presidential election, a new poll has found.

A YouGov poll of 1,266 registered voters has found that 84 per cent of citizens believe America is more divided today than ten years ago.

Of the bipartisan voters surveyed for The Times newspaper in the UK, 27 per cent say they fear violence is ‘very or somewhat likely’ after ballots are cast for the next president in 11 days.

Twelve per cent of respondents claimed to know someone who ‘might take up arms’ if they believed Donald Trump is ‘cheated’ of an election victory. Five per cent said they knew someone who would do the same for Kamala Harris.

The new poll follows a bombshell prediction of a psychological catastrophe across the country if Trump beats Harris.

An MSNBC host was left astonished after black and Latino voters in Pennsylvania revealed why they will be choosing GOP candidate Donald Trump in the election.

Host Alex Wagner met with members of the Black Republicans Club of Philadelphia in the latest segment of her namesake show over the weekend and asked why they were supporting the former president over Vice President Kamala Harris.

In a surprising twist, one voter from a Guatemalan migrant family said that immigration was his primary reason, claiming it was making people like him ‘look bad’.

‘For us, like, seeing the new immigrants come in, it’s just – they are more violent, it is more chaos, they do more bad than anything, and we have been here for longer than them,’ Dorian Urizar told the host.

‘And it is starting to affect us more, because like, stuff is getting stolen, they are making us look bad, as immigrants, and we stayed longer than them, and we have been getting more misrepresentation because of them.’

Kentucky State Senator Johnnie Turner has died a month after driving a ride-on lawnmower into the deep end of a dry swimming pool.

Turner, 76, was gravely injured in the accident on September 15 outside his home in rural Baxter, Kentucky, and his family said this week he passed after a ‘hard fought battle’ with his injuries.

Further details of the horror accident have not been shared.

Tributes have poured in for the lawmaker, who was first elected to the Kentucky House of Representatives in 1998 before becoming a member of the state senate in 2020.

The Nebraska Senate race has tightened further as Independent Dan Osborn is now polling ahead of sitting Republican Deb Fischer.

He’s up by two points in the latest poll taken, well within the margin of error.

Osborn has found himself at the center of numerous controversies weeks before Election Day.

Democrat-turned-Independent Osborn, 49, is denying allegations that he was exposed for being on Ashley Madison, despite being married to his wife of 22 years, Megan, with whom he shares three children.

An email directly connected to Osborn was used to sign up for the infamous affair website Ashley Madison.

The dating website is well known for facilitating extramarital affairs. It was created in 2001 with the slogan ‘life is short, have an affair’ with over 37 million unfaithful spouses taking the bait.

His email linked to his birth date and public address was among the thousands compromised in a now-infamous 2015 Ashley Madison hack, according to documents.

In what is expected to be one of the closest elections in history, the candidates could not be further apart when it comes to the key issues.

Donald Trump and Kamala Harris have laid out two drastically different visions for America during the unprecedented 2024 campaign for the White House.

The rivals have both painted each other as extreme and warned their policies will be a disaster for U.S. voters.

It means that on November 5 there is a stark choice when it comes to the economy, foreign policy, immigration, crime, abortion and taxes.

Whether they will be able to implement their wish list depends on a number of factors, including which party controls Congress.

But their grand plans are a crucial indicator in what four years of a Trump or Harris administration would look like.

By Nikki Schwab, Chief Campaign Correspondent

James Taylor will join Democratic vice presidential hopeful, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, on the campaign trail in North Carolina Thursday, after the singer-songwriter’s performance was cut for time at the August Democratic National Convention.

The Harris-Walz campaign said that Taylor will join Walz in Wilmington, North Carolina.

Taylor will perform alongside his wife, Kim, and son, Henry.

One of Taylor’s most famous songs is Carolina In My Mind.

Taylor was scheduled to perform during the opening night of the Chicago DNC and was spotted earlier in the day by DailyMail.com at a sound check.

But the program got so backed up that Taylor’s song was scrapped, as President Joe Biden – the headliner – didn’t take the stage until after 11:30 p.m. on the east coast.

Former President Donald Trump has not ruled out pardoning Hunter Biden.

The Republican nominee said ‘I wouldn’t take it off the books’ when radio host Hugh Hewitt proposed the idea on Thursday morning.

‘See, unlike Joe Biden, despite what they’ve done to me, where they’ve gone after me so viciously, despite what — and Hunter’s a bad boy,’ he added.

‘There’s no question about it. He’s been a bad boy. All you had to do is see the laptop from hell. But I happen to think it’s very bad for our country.’

Butler County on Wednesday released 15 audio recordings of 911 calls made during the assassination attempt on former president Donald Trump.

They were released in response to legal filings by NBC News and other news organizations after their public information requests were rejected.

The calls reveal panic and confusion among attendees as a gunman opened fire on July 13 during a rally in Pennsylvania, killing one person and wounding Trump.

One breathless woman can be heard saying:

We’re at the Trump assembly and there’s a guy shooting. He’s been shooting up the place.

According to the state, over 2 million people in North Carolina have already voted.

That is nearly double the amount of voters that casted their ballots last week, showing massive momentum.

A record number of North Carolinians voted on the first day – on October 17.

By Jon Michael Raasch, U.S. Political Reporter for DailyMail.com

Former Michigan Republican congressman Fred Upton says he cast his ballot for Kamla Harris.

The ex-lawmaker who represented a Michigan district for over 35 years told the New York Times he had already voted early for Harris.

Having voted to impeach Donald Trump and Bill Clinton, he is the only person in U.S. history to have voted to remove two presidents.

This earned him the scorn of Republicans and he eventually retired in 2023. His district is now represented by Democrat Debbie Dingell.

A deluge of polling indicates the White House race is turning in favor of Donald Trump and against Kamala Harris.

In the CNBC All-America Economic Survey, Trump leads by 48 percent to 46 percent.

The poll shows Trump with a lead of 48 percent to 47 percent in the seven key swing states.

A new Marist poll shows Trump rising in the Sunbelt swing states – he has a two-point lead in North Carolina, one-point lead in Arizona, and Georgia is tied.

In a Franklin and Marshall College poll in Pennsylvania, Trump leads Harris by 50 percent to 49 percent.

That is a reversal of previous results in the poll over the last two months.

An Emerson College poll also shows Trump leading by one point – 49 percent to 48 percent – in the Keystone State.

Meanwhile, a Wall Street Journal national poll shows Trump leading Harris by 47 percent to 45 percent.

Trump also overtook Harris as the candidate voters trust most on the economy, according to another poll.

The final monthly poll for the the Financial Times and the University of Michigan Ross School of Business found Trump with a lead of 44 percent to 43 percent among registered voters on the economy.

It was the first time Trump has led on the economy in that poll.

Legendary investor Stan Druckenmiller has said that the stock market is ‘convinced’ that Donald Trump will win the presidential election.

‘I would have to guess Trump is the favorite to win the election,’ the billionaire said during an interview with Bloomberg earlier this month.

Druckenmiller, a hedge fund manager and founder of Duquesne Family Office, said the market appears ‘very convinced’ that the former president will win in November.

It comes amid reports that some large hedge fund managers, including Dan Loeb, are getting behind trades that could pay out if Trump is elected next month.

‘You can see it in the bank stocks, you can see it in crypto,’ said Druckenmiller.

The investor made the comments during an interview on October 16 with Sonali Basak, during which she asked what the ‘Druckenmiller playbook’ is around this election cycle and what he thinks the mostly likely scenario is for what will happen next month.

‘It’s an evolving situation, and if you had asked me this 12 days ago, I would have said, “I don’t have a clue, it’s still a total toss-up, and I don’t have any conviction who is going to win the election,”‘ the 71-year-old billionaire said.

Druckenmiller did not endorse either Trump or Vice President Kamala Harris, however, saying that he will likely not vote for either candidate.

An Arizona prosecutor said the man arrested in the shooting of a Democratic National Committee office in suburban Phoenix had more than 120 guns and over 250,000 rounds of ammunition in his home, leading law enforcement to believe he may have been planning a mass casualty event.

Maricopa County prosecutor Neha Bhatia said at Jeffrey Michael Kelly´s initial court appearance on Wednesday that federal agents told her about the large seizure made after Kelly´s arrest.

Scopes, body armor and silencers were also found, she said. A machine gun was discovered in the car he was driving.

The sheer size of the cache led authorities to believe ‘this person was preparing to commit an act of mass casualty,’ Bhatia said.

Police said Kelly, 60, allegedly fired BB pellets and then gunshots at the glass front door and a window of the Arizona Democrats´ field office in Tempe. Police found three .22-caliber bullet casings while searching Kelly’s trash, according to court documents.

Nobody was inside during the shootings in the early morning hours of Sept. 16, Sept. 23 and Oct. 6.

(WITH ASSOCIATED PRESS REPORTING)

Beyonce is expected to finally appear with Vice President Kamala Harris at a rally in Houston Friday night.

DailyMail.com confirmed that the Queen Bey would appear alongside the Democratic nominee, after months of speculation of when the songstress would show up on the campaign trail.

Beyonce was rumored to be the special guest at the final night of the Democratic National Convention in Chicago in August.

But the convention concluded with Harris’ speech and the traditional balloon drop, with no additional pop star surprise beyond Pink’s performance, disappointing Democrats.

Donald Trump has made no secret of his hatred for Jack Smith, the federal prosecutor pursuing election interference and national security charges against the former president.

And now he has made clear what everyone suspected: One of his first acts if reelected would be to dismiss Smith as special counsel.

In fact, authority for hiring and firing him lies with the U.S. attorney general. But Trump will almost certainly appoint an ally who shares his view that the cases against him should be dropped.

On Thursday morning, radio host Hugh Hewitt asked him whether he would pardon himself or fire Smith.

Oh, it’s so easy. It’s so easy. … I would fire him within two seconds.

Former President Bill Clinton described Arizona Senate candidate and close Trump ally Kari Lake as ‘physically attractive’ during a campaign event with her opponent on Wednesday evening.

The comments were designed to highlight how the firebrand Republican saw politics as a performance.

But they could be seen as an own goal, coming from a politician with a reputation as a womanizer.

Clinton appeared alongside Democratic candidate Reuben Gallego, 44, and set out his view of the Arizona race.

This is like a beautiful microcosm of the campaign that Kamala Harris is running for president. You got a person that grew up under sometimes challenging circumstances, who made something of his life running against someone who is physically attractive but believes that politics is a performance Art, and where, like J.D. Vance, she has to be prostrate before the master.

Over two million Americans have already voted in the crucial battleground state of Georgia.

That is the most ever early voters on record, according to the state.

It comes as over 19 million Americans total have already cast their ballot in what could be the closest presidential race in history.

From Rob Crilly, Chief U.S. Political Correspondent at the White House

White House staff were confronted by the deafening sounds of gunfire, sirens and screaming missiles as they arrived for work on Thursday morning.

Antiwar protesters, some wearing Arab keffiyeh scarves, gathered just beyond its security perimeter with loudspeakers playing the sounds of Gaza.

The noise of war was loud enough to be heard inside the grounds of the White House and inside the press briefing room.

More than 40,000 people have been killed since Israel launched its offensive on the Palestinian enclave. Protesters accuse President Biden of being complicit in the killing because of the use of American-made and supplied weapons.

By Jon Michael Raasch, U.S. Political Reporter for DailyMail.com

The biggest election night 2024 mystery may not be whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris gains the White House – but when Americans will find out who won.

With polls showing the race a virtual coin flip between Trump and Harris, the November 5 election looks to be perhaps the closest in history.

That will likely spell a long, drawn out round of mail-in ballot counts and even recounts depending on the state.

The 2020 election was not called for Joe Biden until four days later – on the following Saturday.

On Election Day in 2000, Democrat Al Gore conceded in the wee hours the next morning, but then spectacularly rescinded his not-legally-binding concession.

The 2024 presidential election could be one of the closest in history.

Polls show former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are neck-and-neck during one of the most unprecedented campaigns in recent memory.

The race has been dominated by assassination attempts, two drama-filled debates and President Joe Biden making the monumental decision to forgo a chance at a second term by dropping out of the race.

Every day there are dramatic twists and turns that are shaping the biggest conversation in the nation: Who will be the next president?

As the United States races toward Election Day on November 5, DailyMail.com is launching its first politics newsletter to keep you up to date with the most important developments.

Kamala Harris spoke about her belief in a ‘loving God’ during her CNN town hall Wednesday night, but she also carries her belief in a ‘vengeful’ Hindu goddess.

‘I was raised to believe in a loving God, to believe that your faith is a verb, you live your faith,’ she told CNN moderator Anderson Cooper.

When she first ran for office in San Francisco, however, Harris would speak about the benevolent Hindu goddess Pavarti, who also manifests in the form of the deadly vengeful Kali depicted wearing the skulls of her enemies and holding a severed head and a sword.

Harris spoke about the Hindu goddess Parvati/Kali from during the Indus Entrepreneurs’ first-ever Women’s Forum in April 2004.

“Parvati and Kali can coexist in one woman,” she said.

Harris does not talk much about her Hindu background much today, but the culture of goddesses was strong in their household.

‘A culture that worships goddesses produces strong women,’ Harris’ mother Shyamala Gopalan told the Los Angeles Times in 2004.

She also described Harris as a ‘frequent visitor’ to the elaborate Shiva Vishnu temple in Livermore, California.

‘She performs all rituals and says all prayers at the temple. My family always wanted the children to learn the traditions, irrespective of their place of birth,’ her mother confirmed.

Los Angeles Times editors were asked to fairly analyze both Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, but chose to say nothing instead, according to the paper’s owner.

Dr Pat Soon-Shiong made the claim after editorial editor Mariel Garza quit in protest for being blocked from endorsing democrat Kamala Harris for president.

‘The Editorial Board was provided the opportunity to draft a factual analysis of all the POSITIVE AND NEGATIVE policies by EACH candidate during their tenures at the White House, and how these policies affected the nation,’ Soon-Shiong wrote on X.

‘In addition, the Board was asked to provide their understanding of the policies and plans enunciated by the candidates during this campaign and its potential effect on the nation in the next four years.

‘In this way, with this clear and non-partisan information side-by-side, our readers could decide who would be worthy of being President for the next four years. Instead of adopting this path as suggested, the Editorial Board chose to remain silent and I accepted their decision. Please Vote.’

A new poll shows only 4 percent of Pennsylvania voters remain ‘undecided’ in who they will vote for.

With the race on a knife-edge it means Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are chasing a tiny number of voters.

The Emerson College poll found 85 percent made their decision over a month ago, 7 percent decided in the past month, and 4 percent in the last week.

That leaves 4 percent still to decide.

The poll has Trump on 49 percent support and Harris on 48 percent.

Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris by 50 percent to 49 percent in the latest Pennsylvania poll.

The Franklin and Marshall College poll, released today, was of ‘likely voters’ in the Keystone State.

In previous Franklin and Marshall College polls over the last two months Harris had a slight lead in Pennsylvania.

However, those polls were taken among registered voters.

Pennsylvania is regarded by many experts as the state likeliest to decide the outcome of the race.

Ahead of the 2024 Presidential election, see how Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are really faring among voters with DailyMail.com’s brilliant poll tracker.

Readers can view who is winning the head-to-head race as well as the situation in the battleground states that will ultimately decide who gets into the White House.

All of the data used in our analysis comes from Harris versus Trump polls collated by DailyMail.com’s pollsters J.L. Partners and FiveThirtyEight.

Three states that could ultimately decide the election are Nevada, Arizona and Georgia.

They are the destinations for Donald Trump and Kamala Harris on Thursday as they make their final plea to American voters.

Harris will campaign in Atlanta with Former President Barack Obama and will be joined by music legend Bruce Springsteen.

Trump will hold a rally in Tempe, Arizona, and then speak to conservatives at Turning Point Action in Las Vegas.

Vice President Kamala Harris remains unable to prove her claim she worked at McDonald’s while she was a college student, despite repeated taunting from former President Donald Trump.

‘I’ve now worked for 15 minutes more than Kamala at McDonald’s,’ Trump told reporters and customers after he made French fries and served food out of the drive-thru service window on Sunday.

The Harris campaign maintains that Harris worked at a McDonald’s location on Central Avenue in Alameda, California during the summer after her freshman year at Howard University in 1983.

But staff at the restaurant have reportedly been sworn to secrecy and when DailyMail.com contacted them to ask, an employee said ‘no, sorry’.

Suburban women voters in North Carolina revealed to DailyMail.com what they tell their friends who are on the fence about voting for Donald Trump.

MAGA-loving women at the former president’s raucous rally in Greensboro, North Carolina, told DailyMail.com that the 78-year-old’s economic policies and his domineering leadership style are why they are voting for him.

From Hurricane Helene relief in Asheville, North Carolina, to having better immigration and tax policies, the GOP suburban women shared an array of reasons they are using to convince their undecided friends to join team Trump.

MAGA fans chanted ‘daddy’s home’ as Donald Trump took the stage and tore into President Joe Biden over his recent remarks that he should be behind bars with less than two weeks to the election.

‘We gotta lock him up’, the 81-year-old president said at event in New Hampshire on Tuesday before correcting himself to say ‘we need to politically lock him up.’

The remark sparked outrage from Republicans who say the many criminal cases against Trump are politically motivated by the far-left and Biden’s Justice Department.

Then Republican nominee slammed Biden before tens of thousands of his supporters at a rally in Duluth, Georgia, calling it ‘illegal’ and ‘election interference.’

‘He can’t say that,’ Trump said to his adoring fan base.

‘But I’ve been telling you that for – it’s election interference, this is all it is,’ he continued. ‘He said, ‘We’ve got to lock him up.’ This is illegal and should cause cases.’

Trump was also greeted early in his remarks with a new MAGA-flavored chant coined by conservative commentator Tucker Carlson: ‘Daddy’s home.’

Donald Trump has taken a shock lead over Kamala Harris in a poll released just 12 days before the election.

Harris still holds the slimmest of leads in the polling averages, with Real Clear Polling showing her up by just 0.2 percent and FiveThirtyEight by just 1.8 percent.

Now, a Wall Street Journal poll shows Trump leading Harris by 47 percent to 45 percent, a complete reversal from Harris’ two-point lead in their previous survey from August.

Another three percent of voters remain undecided, while two percent hold out for Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who has long since dropped out of the race to endorse Trump.

Kamala Harris branded Donald Trump a ‘fascist’ and got flustered when confronted about whether the border wall was ‘stupid’ during a high-stakes CNN town hall just 13 days from the election.

But it was Harris’ inability to provide clear answers on both domestic and foreign policy, and trademark meandering responses throughout the 90-minute session that had even CNN’s left-leaning panelists ripping her afterwards.

Veteran Democratic strategist David Axelrod, who helped get Barack Obama elected and served as one of his top advisers, summed up Harris’ performance with the catchphrase of the night: ‘Word salad city.’

Harris stood before undecided voters in the swing district of Delaware County, Pennsylvania as new polling showed Trump taking a slight edge over the VP nationally.

Anderson Cooper dove in by asking whether the Democratic agreed with Trump’s former Chief of Staff John Kelly recent claim that the former president wished to rule as a fascist.

Maryland today becomes the latest state where voters can go to the polls early.

Maryland’s State Board of Elections said early voting is being held from October 24 to October 31.

Polls are open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. including over this weekend.

Millions of people have already cast their ballots in early voting states.

A new Marist poll shows the Sunbelt swing states of Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina incredibly close.

In Arizona, Trump leads Harris by 50 percent to 49 percent.

In North Carolina the former president leads by 50 percent to 48 percent.

And in Georgia the candidates are tied on 49 percent.

All the results are within the margin of error.