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Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys – Australian Open women’s final: Live score and set-by-set updates as the World No.1 eyes third-straight title

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Follow Mail Sport’s live blog for the latest score and game-by-game updates as Aryna Sabalenka takes on Madison Keys in the women’s final of the 2025 Australian Open. 

Jelena Dokic names the one thing Keys CANNOT afford to do if she’s going to take the title in a huge upset

The tennis star turned Nine commentator believes the American is doomed if she drops the first set against Sabalenka.

Keys went a set down to Iga Swiatek in her semi before her stirring fightback saw her survive a match point to advance – but Dokic believes she won’t be able to overcome a similar start against the top seed.

‘If she doesn’t get a good start, even if she doesn’t win the first set, I think it’s going to be very hard for her to win from there,’ Dokic told Nine.

How much will tonight’s finalists earn?

This year’s prize money pool for the grand slam went up by almost 12 per cent to $96.5million.

Whoever wins tonight will pocket $3.5million, with the runner-up getting a $1.9million boost to their bank account.

Revealed: The easy-to-miss change that rocketed Madison Keys into the Australian Open final

Madison Keys has borrowed a very effective ploy from the Roger Federer playbook to be on the brink of an improbable Australian Open finals triumph.

Last year was shocker for the American, with Keys forced to quit with a hamstring injury while leading eventual runner-up Jasmine Paolini 5-2 in the fourth round of Wimbledon.

She also missed the Paris Olympics and crashed out in the third round back in New York at the US Open.

So Keys, at the behest of her coach and husband Bjorn Frantangelo, figured something had to change.

Just as Federer changed to a bigger racquet head before conquering great rival Rafael Nadal in the 2017 Australian Open final, Keys made a bold equipment change before the summer.

The 2017 US Open runner-up switched from Wilson to Yonex – and the results have been incredible.

Keys is unbeaten in 2025, following up her march to the Adelaide International title with six straights wins at Melbourne Park to make the final.

MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA - JANUARY 23: Madison Keys of the United States in action against Iga Swiatek of Poland in the semi-final on Day 12 of the 2025 Australian Open at Melbourne Park on January 23, 2025 in Melbourne, Australia (Photo by Robert Prange/Getty Images)

Why Aussie fans have been branded ‘ugly’ and ‘a disgrace’ over shocking Australian Open moment

Lleyton Hewitt meets movie royalty behind the scenes at the Open

Superstar Jackie Chan has caught up with the Aussie tennis great after being mobbed by fans at Melbourne Park when he was greeted by performers in dragon costumes earlier in the day. Chan also had a chat with men’s singles finalist Alexander Zverev near the players’ gym.

How Keys made it to the final

Career win-loss record: 397-220

Grand slam win-loss record: 115-45

Australian Open win-loss record: 30-12

Best Australian Open results: finalist 2024; semi-finalist 2015, 2022

1st rd: bt Ann Li (USA) 6-4 7-5

2nd rd: bt Elena-Gabriela Ruse (ROU) 7-6 (7-1) 2-6 7-5

3rd rd: bt 10-Danielle Collins (USA) 6-4 6-4

4th rd: bt 6-Elena Rybakina (KAZ) 6-3 1-6 6-3

QF: bt 28-Elina Svitolina (UKR) 3-6 6-3 6-4

SF: bt 2-Iga Swiatek (POL) 5-7 6-1 7-6 (10-8)

MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA - JANUARY 23: Madison Keys of United States of America reaction after winning the tie break against Iga Swiatek of Poland (not seen) in the semi final match of the Australian Open grand slam tennis tournament at Melbourne Park in Melbourne, Australia on January 23, 2025 (Photo by Mark Avellino/Anadolu via Getty Images)

How Sabalenka made the final

Grand slam titles: 3 (Australian Open 2023, 2024; US Open 2024)

Grand slam win-loss record: 83-23

Australian Open win-loss record: 28-5

Best Australian Open results: champion 2023, 2024

1st rd: bt Sloane Stephens (USA) 6-3 6-2

2d rd: bt Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (ESP) 6-3 7-5

3rd rd: bt Clara Tauson (DEN) 7-6 (7-5) 6-4

4th rd: bt 14-Mirra Andreeva (RUS) 6-1 6-2

QF: bt 27-Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (RUS) 6-2 3-6 6-3

SF: bt 11-Paula Badosa (ESP) 6-4 6-2

MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA - JANUARY 23: Aryna Sabalenka celebrates winning match point against Paula Badosa of Spain in the Women's Singles Semifinal match during day 12 of the 2025 Australian Open at Melbourne Park on January 23, 2025 in Melbourne, Australia. (Photo by Andy Cheung/Getty Images)

The women’s final, by the numbers

Here’s how the American and the Belarusian stack up with just hours to go before they meet at Rod Laver Arena…

Sabalenka (first seed) leads Keys (19th seed) 4-1 in all match-ups, and 2-0 at grand slams

2024 Beijing, hard, R16, Sabalenka 6-4 6-3

2023 US Open, hard, SF, Sabalenka 0-6 7-6 (7-1) 7-5 (7-5)

2023 Wimbledon, grass, QF, Sabalenka 6-2 6-4

2021 Berlin, clay, R16, Sabalenka 4-6 6-1 7-5

2018 Cincinnati, hard, QF, Keys 6-3 6-4

MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA - JANUARY 23: Madison Keys of United States in action against Iga Swiatek (not seen) of Poland in the Women's Singles Semifinal during day 12 of the 2025 Australian Open at Melbourne Park on January 23, 2025 in Melbourne, Australia. (Photo by Mark Avellino/Anadolu via Getty Images)

G’day and welcome

Thanks for joining Daily Mail Australia’s live blog of the women’s singles final from Melbourne Park.

We’ll be bringing you all the latest news, opinion and best moments as Aryna Sabalenka tries to make it a hat-trick of Australian Open titles.

MELBOURNE, AUSTRALIA - JANUARY 23: Aryna Sabalenka plays a backhand against Paula Badosa of Spain in the Women's Singles Semifinal match during day 12 of the 2025 Australian Open at Melbourne Park on January 23, 2025 in Melbourne, Australia. (Photo by Andy Cheung/Getty Images)

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