Dangerous warning… The repercussions of the fall of the Syrian regime on the terrorist scene in the Middle East in a study by the Egyptian Center for Thought
The Egyptian Center for Thought, Political and Strategic Studies published an analytical study by researcher Mona Qishta, senior researcher in the Terrorism and Armed Conflicts Unit at the Egyptian Center, on the repercussions of the fall of the Syrian regime on the terrorist scene in the Middle East.
The researcher said in the introduction to the study that the developments related to the accelerating events in Syria since the start of the “Deterring Aggression” operation. At the hands of the Syrian armed factions on November 27, 2024, leading up to the announcement by those factions on December 8 of this year, “Overthrowing the regime of Bashar al-Assad.” Its entry into the capital, Damascus, has received great attention over the past few days, with mounting warnings about the potential effects of these developments on the regional and international security scene, and growing fears with the escalation of threats from jihadist terrorist organizations, most notably ISIS and Al-Qaeda. Whether in terms of its geographical concentrations on Syrian and Iraqi lands or any of its branches extending in the Middle East, Asia, Africa and Europe in the foreseeable and medium term.
The study discussed the most prominent sources of potential terrorist danger during the coming period in light of the eruption of the situation in Syria, with the continued tension in the regional situation against the backdrop of the war in Gaza, and the consequences of this on the Middle East region and the world. >
Researcher Mona Qeshta concluded the study by saying that the outbreak of the situation in Syria, and the continued hotspots of regional tension against the backdrop of the war in Gaza, heralds an exacerbation of the danger of the escalation of terrorist activity inside and outside the Middle East region during the coming period.
She continued: While the review of the most prominent potential terrorist risks reveals that the scenarios and outcomes of the terrorist scene in the region vary between – the possibility of ISIS activity returning to its state of strength and control over a specific geographical area in Syria and Iraq, as was the case when it rose in 2014, the revival of Al-Qaeda’s Guardians of Religion branch on Syrian geography, and the birth of a new terrorist organization – The reality of the exacerbation of regional security threats remains the common feature among all the scenarios presented.
It is not an exaggeration to say that the upcoming terrorist threat will be more dangerous than before, in light of the expansion and complexity of the map of influence of terrorist groups, most notably ISIS and Al-Qaeda, and the growing hotbeds of tension and conflict in various regions of the world, not to mention International interest in counter-terrorism efforts has declined in favor of preoccupation with geopolitical conflicts and escalating wars.
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